Submitted by Bob (not verified) on December 23, 2009 - 2:34pm.
This is a good explanation, but your statistics are not valid.
Following Delynn Colvert's 26 theory, you will not achieve 26 per round 1 out of every 2 occurrences for 50%. You should achieve 50% "over the long haul" of thousands of games.
A simpler example, is cutting for deal. You would expect that 50% of the time you would win the deal. During the 2008-2009 Season, I tracked every ACC tournament game and ACC Grass Roots game I played; nearly 2000 games. I was the starting dealer only 44% of the time. 6% below the 50% that one would expect and with this large number you would expect it to be real close to 50%. This 6% shortfall really had an impact as I win 68% of the games that I am the starting dealer; 55% as the starting non-dealer.
Good, but statistics not accurate
This is a good explanation, but your statistics are not valid.
Following Delynn Colvert's 26 theory, you will not achieve 26 per round 1 out of every 2 occurrences for 50%. You should achieve 50% "over the long haul" of thousands of games.
A simpler example, is cutting for deal. You would expect that 50% of the time you would win the deal. During the 2008-2009 Season, I tracked every ACC tournament game and ACC Grass Roots game I played; nearly 2000 games. I was the starting dealer only 44% of the time. 6% below the 50% that one would expect and with this large number you would expect it to be real close to 50%. This 6% shortfall really had an impact as I win 68% of the games that I am the starting dealer; 55% as the starting non-dealer.